AP 2024 Elections - Which Exit Polls to Look Forward?
The results of the andhra pradesh elections have remained locked in the EVMs for more than a fortnight. According to senior politicians, this is the most intensely contested election in Andhra Pradesh's history. According to their language and body language, the ysr congress appears concerned, whilst the tdp appears calm and poised. The results will be available only on june 4th.
The ban on exit polls will be removed on june 1st at 6 p.m., and the exit polls will be released to provide insight into the trend. If we look at the 2019 elections, Exit Polls were mostly correct in projecting the ysr congress win. Except for one or two, no agency predicted the real surge of 151 seats.
India Today – Axis My india was the most accurate which gave 130-135 seats and is closest to predicting the wave.
Republic-C Voter also predicted ysr congress victory but only gave 120-130 seats which is again fair enough.
Times Now-CNX and News18-IPSOS also predicted ysr Congress’ victory but grossly underestimated the wave.
The ban on exit polls will be removed on june 1st at 6 p.m., and the exit polls will be released to provide insight into the trend. If we look at the 2019 elections, Exit Polls were mostly correct in projecting the ysr congress win. Except for one or two, no agency predicted the real surge of 151 seats.
India Today – Axis My india was the most accurate which gave 130-135 seats and is closest to predicting the wave.
Republic-C Voter also predicted ysr congress victory but only gave 120-130 seats which is again fair enough.
Times Now-CNX and News18-IPSOS also predicted ysr Congress’ victory but grossly underestimated the wave.
TV5 and Lagadapati Surveys forecast tdp victory in 2019 but failed to deliver. Atma sakshi is hinting at the ysr congress, but its track record is questionable. AARA Mastan got it right in andhra pradesh in 2019, but he also got the 2014 ap elections incorrect. He recently incorrectly predicted the ghmc elections and the Dubbaka by-election but correctly predicted the telangana Assembly elections in 2023.
C Voter hinted that tdp will win, whilst AARA Mastan hinted at the ysr Congress. There are charges against AARA Mastan after he appeared on tv9 and attempted to persuade voters with pro-YSRCP analysis even before the polls closed. So, Axis My india appears to be a safe bet agency to consider due to its impartiality and track record.