Statistics Shock Kamala and Trump!
Recent polling, especially in crucial swing states, has shown some surprising changes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. In pennsylvania, Michigan, and wisconsin, Kamala harris is leading donald trump by a sizable margin, according to the most recent Quinnipiac university survey. harris is currently ahead of trump 51% to 45% in pennsylvania, a state with 19 electoral votes that went to the Democrats in the 2020 election.
When compared to last month, when her advantage was just three points, this is a significant rise. With 15 electoral votes, Kamala harris leads Michigan 50% to 45%. With 10 electoral votes, wisconsin is showing a close contest between trump (47%), Jill Stein (1%), and harris (48%). Although these numbers might indicate that Kamala harris is in a good position, experts advise being cautious. The contests in pennsylvania and Michigan are closer than the Quinnipiac poll shows, according to aggregated data from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ. Kamala harris is ahead by less than a percentage point in both states and by 2.9 percentage points in Wisconsin.
When compared to last month, when her advantage was just three points, this is a significant rise. With 15 electoral votes, Kamala harris leads Michigan 50% to 45%. With 10 electoral votes, wisconsin is showing a close contest between trump (47%), Jill Stein (1%), and harris (48%). Although these numbers might indicate that Kamala harris is in a good position, experts advise being cautious. The contests in pennsylvania and Michigan are closer than the Quinnipiac poll shows, according to aggregated data from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ. Kamala harris is ahead by less than a percentage point in both states and by 2.9 percentage points in Wisconsin.
Political commentators like Republican pollster Frank Luntz and political analyst Nate silver point out that Quinnipiac's surveys have historically favored the Democratic Party, which might distort Harris's advantage. According to a Fox news survey, Kamala harris leads trump by a narrow margin nationally; this difference has been maintained for the past three months, since mid-August. In July, trump had a 1-point edge over Biden; now, Kamala harris leads by 2 points, at 50% to 48%. This changing data emphadata-sizes how unpredictable the 2024 election environment will be.