BJP's vote share in 2019 electionslet’s know formula?
In the 2019 elections, bjp fielded candidates on 435 seats and won 224 seats with a margin of more than 50 percent votes. At the same time, in 2014 this figure was 136. That means there was an increase of 88 seats in 2019. This time prime minister Modi claims that this figure will increase further. Meaning, bjp is assuming that it will repeat its previous victory on 224 seats.
Even if bjp is confident of winning 224 seats, the figure of 370 is still far away. For this let's look at another trend. In 2019, the party won 75 percent of the seats by a margin of more than one lakh votes, that is, the party won 210 seats by a margin of more than one lakh votes. There were only 10 seats on which it won by a margin of 10 thousand votes and on 30 seats the party won by a margin of 10 to 50 thousand votes.
It is possible that on the basis of the party's victory by a higher margin of votes, it seems that the 2019 seats will remain in hand and 67 more seats will be added to it. Now the question is how will 67 seats be added? On this, political experts believe that if BJP's vote share increases by 5 percent in 72 seats and that of the opposition decreases, then 38 percent seats can increase.